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Wally Daan vs Guediawaye

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Wally Daan and Guediawaye finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wally Daan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wally Daan
35%
Draws
26%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wally Daan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Guediawaye haven't matched Wally Daan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wally Daan a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Wally Daan have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Wally Daan Clean Sheet 68%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wally Daan Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 14 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Wally Daan
2:3
Feb 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Wally Daan vs Guediawaye
1:0
May 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Wally Daan
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Wally Daan vs Guediawaye
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wally Daan 59 / 100
Guediawaye 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wally Daan Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wally Daan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wally Daan scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Guediawaye conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Wally Daan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wally Daan VS Guediawaye
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wally Daan

(Home)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
Wally Daan
0 : 1
Teungueth
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)