Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Walsall vs Port Vale

England England

League Two Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Evans A. In: Simper L.
Out: Evans A.
27'
Sprangler S.
40'
Ahui E.

AI Match Summary

Walsall in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Walsall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Walsall
30%
Draws
23%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Walsall haven't matched Port Vale's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Walsall's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Walsall here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Walsall Clean Sheet 68%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walsall Port Vale
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Walsall vs Port Vale
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Port Vale
2:3
Dec 7, 2024 League Two
Port Vale vs Walsall
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Port Vale
2:0
Nov 23, 2021 League Two
Port Vale vs Walsall
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Connolly J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dallas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Port Vale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 50 / 100
Port Vale 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walsall Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Vale has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Walsall stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Port Vale has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Port Vale
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1
Walsall
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0
Rochdale
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Cheltenham 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 13:11 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Grimsby 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Salford 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Crewe 8 2 6 0 8:6 12
10 Tranmere 8 2 5 1 10:8 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
12 Swindon 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
13 Rotherham 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
15 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
17 Newport 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
18 Shrewsbury 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
19 Accrington 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
20 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
21 Exeter 8 1 3 4 4:6 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)