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Walton & Hersham vs Chertsey Town

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Horan R.
52' Event
Minhas N.
85' Event
Robertson L.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Walton & Hersham and Chertsey Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chertsey Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Walton & Hersham
22%
Draws
18%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Walton & Hersham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Walton & Hersham has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chertsey Town.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Walton & Hersham.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Southern League Premier South provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Walton & Hersham Clean Sheet 18%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Walton & Hersham Chertsey Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Chertsey Town
1:2
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Walton & Hersham
0:1
Feb 11, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Walton & Hersham
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Chertsey Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Walton & Hersham Compare

Top Goalscorer Horan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Minhas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walton & Hersham 58 / 100
Chertsey Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Walton & Hersham Chertsey Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Walton & Hersham scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Chertsey Town let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Walton & Hersham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chertsey Town lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Walton & Hersham VS Chertsey Town
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518