Sport Picks
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo 
Match Events
43'
43'
Hernandez A.
45'
45'
Zeballos J.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Zazpe L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Wanderers and Cerro Largo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Wanderers
1:2
Sep 1, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Wanderers
0:1
Jun 12, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Wanderers
0:0
Mar 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Cerro Largo
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wanderers 41 / 100
Cerro Largo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wanderers Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wanderers scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Cerro Largo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Wanderers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Wanderers VS Cerro Largo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home) 17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0 Wanderers
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3 Boston River
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3 Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Wanderers
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1 Albion
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Wanderers
1 : 3 Boston River
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1 Albion
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Largo
(Away) 21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
16 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1 Albion
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0 Rentistas
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
16 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
