Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wanderers vs Danubio

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Levato M.
20'
Zazpe L.
24' Event
Peralta M.

AI Match Summary

Wanderers in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Wanderers
30%
Draws
14%
Danubio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Danubio.
  • Win probability leans Wanderers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Danubio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wanderers Danubio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Wanderers
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Zazpe L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luna J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Danubio Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wanderers 68 / 100
Danubio 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wanderers Danubio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanderers scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Danubio conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wanderers VS Danubio
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wanderers

(Home)
09 Aug
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Wanderers
05 Aug
Penarol
5 : 1
Wanderers
31 Jul
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Wanderers
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

Danubio

(Away)
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1
CA Cerro
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2
Danubio
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)