Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Corujo M.
68'
68'
Sub
Garcia A. In: Rivero R.
Out: Garcia A.
68'
68'
Sub
Urretaviscaya J. In: Luna J.
Out: Urretaviscaya J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Wanderers and Danubio finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wanderers come out ahead of Danubio on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Danubio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wanderers | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Wanderers
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Danubio
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wanderers 41 / 100
Danubio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wanderers Danubio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wanderers scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Danubio let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wanderers VS Danubio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wanderers
(Home) 12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
28 Aug
Wanderers
3 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
11 Jul
Wanderers
2 : 0 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Danubio
(Away) 13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4 Penarol
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0 Danubio
26 Aug
Danubio
3 : 2 Atenas
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0 Danubio
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2 Danubio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
