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Warrenpoint vs Chimney - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hughes D.
59' Event
Hughes D.

AI Match Summary

Warrenpoint in this Irish Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Warrenpoint
15%
Draws
39%
Chimney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Warrenpoint lately — more wins on the board than Chimney.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Warrenpoint taking it.
  • Warrenpoint have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Warrenpoint, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Warrenpoint have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 68%
Chimney Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Chimney
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 27
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2014 Irish Cup
Warrenpoint vs Chimney
2:0
May 6, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Warrenpoint vs Chimney
4:1
Nov 20, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Chimney vs Warrenpoint
2:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrenpoint Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Chimney Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 95 / 100
Chimney 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Chimney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chimney conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.67 goals per match.

Warrenpoint has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chimney's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 7

Chimney

(Away)
02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3
Valley Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1
Laurelvale
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2
Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2
Chimney
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Dergview -
TBD -
Nortel 0
Drumaness 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ardglass 5
Carniny Amateur & Youth 3
TBD -
Glebe -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Limavady -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0
Derriaghy 3
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirocco 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Strabane Athletic 2
Crumlin United 0
Bryansburn 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Downshire Y.M. 3
Shankill 2
Immaculata 0
Kilmore Rec 1
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Bangor Swifts 1
TBD -
Banbridge -
Crumlin Star 2
Newbuildings 1
Downpatrick 0
Newry City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Harland & Wolff 8
Dergview 2
Drumaness 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola 2
Annagh 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC 5
Knockbreda 2
Ardglass 2
Glebe 3
Chimney 3
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute 1
Tobermore 1
PSNI 2
Limavady 2
Derriaghy 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Queens University 5
Glenavon -
TBD -
Sirocco 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Strabane Athletic 2
Lisburn Rangers 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh 2
Loughgall 0
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare 4
Larne 1
Downshire Y.M. 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Dundela 5
Portstewart 2
Coagh Utd 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Ballymoney 3
Newington FC 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Banbridge 4
Crumlin Star 4
Newry City 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Dergview 0
Linfield 5
Coleraine 6
Cliftonville 5
Moyola 1
Dungannon 5
Bangor FC 7
Glebe 1
Chimney 0
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 0
Limavady 0
Queens University 1
Glenavon 7
Sport & Leisure 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Ballinamallard 1
Armagh 5
Ards 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 3
Kilmore Rec 0
Dundela 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Ballymoney 1
Banbridge 0
Crumlin Star 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 3
Bangor FC 1
Warrenpoint 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Queens University 2
Glenavon 3
Ballinamallard 0
Armagh 2
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 4
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 4
Dungannon 1
Bangor FC 2
Queens University 3
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Ballyclare 0
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Queens University 0
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Glenavon 2