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Warrenpoint vs Dundela

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026 Milltown, Warrenpoint
Warrenpoint Logo

Warrenpoint

5 - 2
FT
Dundela Logo

Dundela

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Warrenpoint and Dundela finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Warrenpoint
20%
Draws
32%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrenpoint come out ahead of Dundela on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 17%
Dundela Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Dundela
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Warrenpoint
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Dundela
5:2
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Warrenpoint
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Dundela
3:1
Apr 8, 2023 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Dundela
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 36 / 100
Dundela 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Dundela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Warrenpoint scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS Dundela
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1
Warrenpoint
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Ballinamallard
0 : 1
Warrenpoint
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Dundela

(Away)
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
25 Jul
Dundela
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
27 Jun
Stranraer
4 : 0
Dundela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limavady 33 21 8 4 61:32 71
2 Annagh 33 22 5 6 54:27 71
3 Harland & Wolff 33 17 8 8 77:41 59
4 Newington FC 33 15 6 12 69:52 51
5 Loughgall 33 13 12 8 46:34 51
6 Queens University 33 12 11 10 43:42 47
7 Institute 33 13 7 13 47:43 46
8 Ards 33 12 7 14 50:46 43
9 Warrenpoint 33 10 6 17 44:50 36
10 Ballinamallard 33 8 10 15 36:52 34
11 Dundela 33 3 11 19 37:73 20
12 Armagh 33 4 5 24 28:100 17
Promotion - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)