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Warrenpoint vs Strabane Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Milltown, Warrenpoint
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrenpoint host Strabane Athletic in the NIFL Championship. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Strabane Athletic have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Warrenpoint have conceded 1.6 and scored 1.17. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.50) point toward Strabane Athletic. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Warrenpoint
35%
Draws
30%
Strabane Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Strabane Athletic have won more games recently than Warrenpoint.
  • Win probability leans Warrenpoint's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 16%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Strabane Athletic
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 84 / 100
Strabane Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Warrenpoint has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Warrenpoint's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Strabane Athletic lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS Strabane Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
03 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 1
Annagh
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Strabane Athletic

(Away)
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
05 Sept
Queens University
6 : 0
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)