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Warri Wolves vs Katsina Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warri Wolves host Katsina Utd in the NPFL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Katsina Utd have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Warri Wolves have conceded 1.17 and scored 0.87. Head-to-head, Warri Wolves have won 4 to Katsina Utd's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.00) back Warri Wolves to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Warri Wolves
35%
Draws
37%
Katsina Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Katsina Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Katsina Utd come out ahead of Warri Wolves on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Warri Wolves's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Warri Wolves here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Warri Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
Katsina Utd Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warri Wolves Katsina Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Katsina Utd
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 NPFL
Katsina Utd vs Warri Wolves
0:1
May 30, 2021 NPFL
Katsina Utd vs Warri Wolves
1:0
Jan 13, 2021 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Katsina Utd
3:0
Feb 16, 2020 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Katsina Utd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warri Wolves 36 / 100
Katsina Utd 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warri Wolves Katsina Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Katsina Utd let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Warri Wolves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Warri Wolves scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Warri Wolves VS Katsina Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warri Wolves

(Home)
01 Nov
Plateau United
1 : 1
Warri Wolves
25 Oct
Warri Wolves
0 : 0
Kano Pillars
18 Oct
Enyimba International
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
11 Oct
Warri Wolves
3 : 1
Inter Lagos
04 Oct
Doma United
1 : 0
Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Katsina Utd

(Away)
01 Nov
Katsina Utd
2 : 1
Sporting Lagos
24 Oct
Katsina Utd
2 : 2
Plateau United
18 Oct
Kano Pillars
1 : 0
Katsina Utd
09 Oct
Katsina Utd
4 : 2
Enyimba International
04 Oct
Inter Lagos
1 : 1
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rivers United 11 4 6 1 15:5 18
3 Kano Pillars 11 4 6 1 14:11 18
4 Bendel 11 6 0 5 18:16 18
5 Nasarawa United 11 5 2 4 11:10 17
6 Plateau United 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Barau 11 3 7 1 13:10 16
8 Niger Tornadoes 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
9 Katsina Utd 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
10 Shooting 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
11 Sporting Lagos 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
12 Doma United 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
13 Ikorodu City 11 3 5 3 15:13 14
14 Warri Wolves 11 3 4 4 7:8 13
15 Kwara 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
16 Kun Khalifa 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
17 Enyimba International 11 3 2 6 12:15 11
18 Abia Warriors 11 2 4 5 10:17 10
19 Ranchers Bees 10 2 3 5 11:14 9
20 Inter Lagos 11 1 3 7 6:20 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)