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Warri Wolves vs Kwara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Warri Wolves and Kwara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warri Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Warri Wolves
15%
Draws
48%
Kwara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kwara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kwara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Warri Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
Kwara Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warri Wolves Kwara
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
1:0
Feb 2, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Warri Wolves
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
0:0
May 22, 2024 Federation Cup
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
0:1
Jul 18, 2021 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Kwara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warri Wolves 36 / 100
Kwara 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warri Wolves Kwara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kwara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kwara let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Warri Wolves has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Warri Wolves scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Warri Wolves VS Kwara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warri Wolves

(Home)
04 Oct
Doma United
1 : 0
Warri Wolves
30 Sept
Warri Wolves
0 : 1
Rangers International
27 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Shooting
23 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Kwara
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Kwara

(Away)
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1
Ranchers Bees
27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0
Kwara
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1
Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0
Kwara
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 7 5 1 1 12:7 16
2 Rivers United 7 4 3 0 13:2 15
3 Doma United 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Barau 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
5 Bendel 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Katsina Utd 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
7 Kano Pillars 7 2 5 0 11:7 11
8 Plateau United 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
9 Kwara 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
10 Ikorodu City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Sporting Lagos 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
12 Niger Tornadoes 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
13 Shooting 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
14 Nasarawa United 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
15 Abia Warriors 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
16 Ranchers Bees 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
17 Enyimba International 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
18 Warri Wolves 7 2 1 4 3:6 7
19 Inter Lagos 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Kun Khalifa 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)