Sport Picks

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Warrington Rylands vs Marske United

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Tue, Jan 16, 2024
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrington Rylands host Marske United in the NPL Premier Division 2023/2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Warrington Rylands at 1.44 goals for, 1.33 against; Marske United at 0.9 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Warrington Rylands slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.19, favoring Warrington Rylands. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Warrington Rylands
15%
Draws
32%
Marske United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrington Rylands come out ahead of Marske United on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Warrington Rylands taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 20%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Rylands Marske United
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 13 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.44 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Warrington Rylands
0:0
Jan 16, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Marske United
0:0
Mar 28, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Warrington Rylands
2:0
Sep 20, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Marske United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Rylands 67 / 100
Marske United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Rylands Marske United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marske United conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Warrington Rylands found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Warrington Rylands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Marske United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Rylands VS Marske United
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Rylands

(Home)
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
Warrington Rylands
1 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

Marske United

(Away)
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2
Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2
Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3
Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radcliffe 40 28 3 9 103:58 87
2 Macclesfield 40 24 5 11 84:47 77
3 Marine 40 23 7 10 87:44 76
4 Warrington Rylands 40 21 12 7 65:42 75
5 Worksop 40 21 7 12 72:49 70
6 Hyde 40 19 10 11 68:48 67
7 Ashton United 40 19 10 11 73:63 67
8 Gainsborough 40 19 6 15 66:63 63
9 Lancaster 40 18 8 14 60:62 62
10 Guiseley 40 18 7 15 69:63 61
11 Ilkeston 40 18 6 16 69:62 60
12 Whitby 40 17 8 15 60:50 56
13 Morpeth 40 14 8 18 76:81 50
14 United of Manchester 40 15 4 21 55:77 48
15 Matlock 40 14 5 21 62:77 47
16 Bamber Bridge 40 12 11 17 63:82 47
17 Workington 40 11 11 18 67:81 44
18 Basford Utd. 40 9 10 21 44:65 37
19 Bradford PA 40 7 9 24 50:85 30
20 Stafford 40 9 3 28 36:81 30
21 Atherton Collieries 40 7 4 29 47:96 25
22 Marske United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)