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Warrington Town vs Stocksbridge

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Poole T.
90' Event
Butler S.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Warrington Town and Stocksbridge finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Warrington Town
30%
Draws
8%
Stocksbridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warrington Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrington Town come out ahead of Stocksbridge on wins alone.
  • Warrington Town are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 68%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrington Town Stocksbridge
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Stocksbridge
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs Warrington Town
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warrington Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Butler S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Stocksbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Poole T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrington Town 68 / 100
Stocksbridge 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrington Town Stocksbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stocksbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Warrington Town found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Warrington Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warrington Town VS Stocksbridge
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrington Town

(Home)
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2
Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2
Warrington Town
29 Aug
Warrington Town
2 : 2
AFC Emley
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4
Curzon Ashton
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5
Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6

Stocksbridge

(Away)
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
29 Aug
Stocksbridge
1 : 2
Runcorn Linnets
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)