Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Poznan vs R. Rzeszow

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Poznan play R. Rzeszow in the Division 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Warta Poznan averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. R. Rzeszow averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Warta Poznan won 1, R. Rzeszow won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Warta Poznan and 1.25 for R. Rzeszow. This points to a Warta Poznan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Warta Poznan
32%
Draws
26%
R. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Warta Poznan picked up more points recently compared to R. Rzeszow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 19%
R. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Poznan R. Rzeszow
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs R. Rzeszow
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Division 2
R. Rzeszow vs Warta Poznan
0:2
Sep 26, 2018 Polish Cup
R. Rzeszow vs Warta Poznan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefaniak M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avdeev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

R. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldyga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romanowski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Poznan 42 / 100
R. Rzeszow 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Poznan R. Rzeszow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Warta Poznan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Warta Poznan attacking → ← attacking R. Rzeszow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

R. Rzeszow let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Warta Poznan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

R. Rzeszow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 33
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Unia Skierniewice34215869:4568
2Warta Poznan341713457:3764
3Ol. Grudziadz341810669:4264
4Podbeskidzie341771064:4358
5Slask Wroclaw II341671165:4955
6Sandecja Nowy S.341413754:4055
7Podhale Nowy Targ341314746:3553
8Chojniczanka3414101058:4752
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala3412101245:4846
10Stal Stalowa Wola341016856:4346
11Hutnik Krakow3412101247:4046
12Swit Szczecin341281451:5944
13R. Rzeszow3410121248:4742
14Kleczew341071747:6237
15Zaglebie Sosnowiec34971837:6134
16KKS Kalisz348101637:5534
17LKS Lodz II345101933:6425
18GKS Jastrzebie34072718:846