Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Swiety L.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Krecichwost B.
90' Event
Drzazga K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Warta Sieradz and Suwalki finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Warta Sieradz
33%
Draws
40%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of Warta Sieradz on wins alone.
  • Model gives Suwalki a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Warta Sieradz here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 15%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Suwalki
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Warta Sieradz
1:2
May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Suwalki
3:2
Nov 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Warta Sieradz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Krecichwost B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drzazga K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Suwalki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 27 / 100
Suwalki 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Suwalki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 100% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Suwalki let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Warta Sieradz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Suwalki
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315