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Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz play Ursus Warszawa in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Warta Sieradz averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Ursus Warszawa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Warta Sieradz won 2, Ursus Warszawa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 17, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Warta Sieradz and 1.19 for Ursus Warszawa. This points to a Warta Sieradz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Warta Sieradz
29%
Draws
17%
Ursus Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz picked up more points recently compared to Ursus Warszawa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 20%
Ursus Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Ursus Warszawa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.08 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
4:0
Sep 3, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
Apr 28, 2018 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Ursus Warszawa
0:0
Sep 16, 2017 III Liga - Group I
Ursus Warszawa vs Warta Sieradz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Drabik P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janiszewski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ursus Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 53 / 100
Ursus Warszawa 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Ursus Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Warta Sieradz & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Warta Sieradz attacking → ← attacking Ursus Warszawa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Sieradz scored in 97% of their last 37 games.

Ursus Warszawa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Warta Sieradz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ursus Warszawa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 21
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00