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Washington Spirit W vs Denver Summit W

USA USA

NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Washington Spirit W host Denver Summit W in the NWSL Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Washington Spirit W have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Denver Summit W's 1.88 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Washington Spirit W have won 0 to Denver Summit W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.63, favoring Washington Spirit W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Washington Spirit W
17%
Draws
13%
Denver Summit W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Washington Spirit W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Washington Spirit W taking it.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 14%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Denver Summit W
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 66 / 100
Denver Summit W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Denver Summit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Washington Spirit W scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Denver Summit W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 16 outings.

Washington Spirit W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Denver Summit W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Washington Spirit W

(Home)
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2
Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3
Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 7

Denver Summit W

(Away)
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Houston Dash W
04 Jul
Denver Summit W
0 : 3
Kansas City Current W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1
Denver Summit W
23 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
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