Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W

USA USA

NWSL Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
McCutcheon H.
Assist: Banda B.
46'
Sub
Tamara Bolt In: Monday G.
Out: Tamara Bolt
61'
Sub
Tse E. In: Metayer P.
Out: Tse E.

AI Match Summary

Orlando Pride W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando Pride W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Washington Spirit W
15%
Draws
37%
Orlando Pride W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Washington Spirit W have won more games recently than Orlando Pride W.
  • Washington Spirit W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 18%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Orlando Pride W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1
May 2, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Washington Spirit W
2:4
Oct 18, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Orlando Pride W
2:3
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 NWSL Challenge Cup Women
Orlando Pride W vs Washington Spirit W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer McCutcheon H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 58 / 100
Orlando Pride W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Orlando Pride W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Washington Spirit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Washington Spirit W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Orlando Pride W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Washington Spirit W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Orlando Pride W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Washington Spirit W

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Washington Spirit W
0 : 3
Boston Legacy W
06 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0
Bay FC W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Orlando Pride W
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Orlando Pride W

(Away)
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
29 Aug
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
Utah Royals W
23 Aug
Washington Spirit W
0 : 1
Orlando Pride W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 26 16 6 4 34:20 54
2 San Diego Wave W 26 15 3 8 38:27 48
3 Washington Spirit W 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Portland Thorns FC W 26 12 7 7 43:35 43
5 Angel City W 26 12 6 8 44:28 42
6 Utah Royals W 25 13 3 9 41:33 42
7 Kansas City Current W 26 12 5 9 43:37 41
8 Seattle Reign W 26 12 4 10 33:31 40
9 North Carolina Courage W 25 12 3 10 48:37 39
10 Denver Summit W 26 9 8 9 42:37 35
11 Houston Dash W 26 8 6 12 32:36 30
12 Orlando Pride W 25 9 3 13 32:40 30
13 Bay FC W 25 7 5 13 26:34 26
14 Boston Legacy W 26 7 5 14 32:44 26
15 Racing Louisville W 26 7 2 17 35:51 23
16 Chicago Stars W 26 5 2 19 15:60 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)