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Wasilkow vs Huragan Morag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Makal G.
77' Event
Jakimiuk J.

AI Match Summary

Wasilkow in this III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wasilkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Wasilkow
30%
Draws
54%
Huragan Morag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Huragan Morag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Wasilkow have won more games recently than Huragan Morag.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Huragan Morag taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 12%
Huragan Morag Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Huragan Morag
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Huragan Morag
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Wasilkow
0:0
Apr 25, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Wasilkow
0:0
Sep 22, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Huragan Morag
0:2
Apr 30, 2016 III Liga - Group V
Wasilkow vs Huragan Morag
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Makal G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakimiuk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Huragan Morag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 27 / 100
Huragan Morag 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Huragan Morag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huragan Morag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huragan Morag has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Wasilkow scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Wasilkow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wasilkow

(Home)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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Huragan Morag

(Away)
26 Feb
Powisle Dzierzgon
3 : 5
Huragan Morag
29 Jan
DKS Dobre Miasto
3 : 2
Huragan Morag
22 Jan
Zatoka Braniewo
2 : 2
Huragan Morag
18 Jun
Huragan Morag
6 : 4
Wysokie Mazowieckie
12 Jun
Olimpia Zambrow
2 : 1
Huragan Morag
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