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Wasilkow vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dari O.
84' Event
Wysocki D.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Kuprianowicz C.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Plock II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wasilkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Wasilkow
30%
Draws
54%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plock II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Wasilkow haven't matched Plock II's recent run of results.
  • Plock II are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Plock II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Plock II
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Wasilkow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuprianowicz C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Dari O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 18 / 100
Plock II 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plock II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Wasilkow's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Wasilkow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Plock II
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wasilkow

(Home)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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Plock II

(Away)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2
LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)