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Waterford vs Avondale United

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2014 Regional Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterford play Avondale United in the League Cup 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Waterford averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Avondale United averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Waterford won 1, Avondale United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2014 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Waterford and 1.56 for Avondale United. This points to a Waterford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Waterford
24%
Draws
35%
Avondale United
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterford picked up more points recently compared to Avondale United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Waterford Clean Sheet 15%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Avondale United
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.56

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2014 League Cup
Waterford vs Avondale United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrett P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corcoran S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Avondale United Compare

Top Goalscorer McCarthy G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 40 / 100
Avondale United 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Avondale United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Waterford or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Waterford attacking → ← attacking Avondale United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterford scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Avondale United let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Avondale United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 31
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00