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Waterford vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Lonergan T.
Assist: Couto B.
25'
Lonergan T.
31'
Mawene N.

AI Match Summary

Waterford in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Waterford
20%
Draws
28%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bohemians lately — more wins on the board than Waterford.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Waterford taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Bohemians
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Bohemians
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Waterford
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Bohemians
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Waterford vs Bohemians
1:4
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Waterford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Amond P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lonergan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Rooney D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 85 / 100
Bohemians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterford went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Waterford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Bohemians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Bohemians
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterford

(Home)
21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0
Waterford
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1
Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
25 Jul
Galway United
0 : 0
Waterford
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Bohemians

(Away)
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
13 Aug
Midtjylland
3 : 2
Bohemians
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
06 Aug
Bohemians
0 : 2
Midtjylland
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 28 14 8 6 45:23 50
3 Bohemians 28 13 8 7 47:34 47
4 Dundalk 28 9 10 9 43:43 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 28 7 12 9 38:37 33
7 Galway United 27 8 9 10 35:41 33
8 Waterford 28 6 11 11 37:48 29
9 Drogheda 28 6 10 12 31:45 28
10 Sligo Rovers 28 5 8 15 23:45 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)