Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre

Waterford

2 - 2

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Santos K.

Assist: Clarke J.

25'

Sub

Houston J. In: McMenamy D.

Out: Houston J.

34'

Heeney L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Waterford and Derry City finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Waterford

11%

Draws

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Derry City come out ahead of Waterford on wins alone.
Waterford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Waterford Clean Sheet 15%

Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Waterford	Derry City
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	7	8
Draws	11	11
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Waterford

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

May 15, 2026 Premier Division

Waterford vs Derry City

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Waterford

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

4:2

Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division

Waterford vs Derry City

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Jul 4, 2025 Premier Division

Derry City vs Waterford

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Long K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rylah H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 75 / 100

Derry City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Waterford Derry City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Waterford scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Derry City has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Waterford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Derry City

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20