Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Waterford host Derry City in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Derry City have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Waterford have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Waterford have won 1 to Derry City's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Waterford to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Waterford come out ahead of Derry City on wins alone.
- Waterford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterford | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Waterford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Waterford scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Derry City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Waterford
(Home)Derry City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43:24 | 54 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:31 | 44 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:41 | 37 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36:38 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 35:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Galway United | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:40 | 30 |
| 8 | Waterford | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 37:48 | 28 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 23:45 | 22 |