Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Waterford vs Derry City

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterford host Derry City in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Derry City have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Waterford have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Waterford have won 1 to Derry City's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 3, 2026, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Waterford to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Waterford
30%
Draws
27%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waterford come out ahead of Derry City on wins alone.
  • Waterford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Derry City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Waterford
2:4
May 15, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Derry City
2:2
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Waterford
4:2
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Derry City
1:2
Jul 4, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Waterford
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 58 / 100
Derry City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waterford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Waterford scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Derry City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Derry City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterford

(Home)
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
25 Jul
Galway United
0 : 0
Waterford
17 Jul
Waterford
2 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
10 Jul
Waterford
1 : 1
St. Patricks
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Derry City

(Away)
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1
Rijeka
23 Jul
Rijeka
1 : 0
Derry City
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)