Sport Picks
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup Regional Sports Centre, Waterford 
Match Events
8'
8'
Amond P.
32'
32'
McLaughlin E.
50'
50'
Lonergan T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Waterford come out ahead of Sligo Rovers on wins alone.
- Waterford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Waterford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Waterford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Waterford Clean Sheet 20%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterford | Sligo Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 FAI Cup
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers
3:0
Aug 21, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Waterford
0:0
Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers
4:0
Apr 18, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Waterford
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterford Compare
Top Goalscorer Amond P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lonergan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sligo Rovers Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterford 85 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterford Sligo Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waterford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sligo Rovers's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Waterford scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Sligo Rovers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Waterford VS Sligo Rovers
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterford
(Home) 18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1 Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1 Bohemians
Page 1 of 4
Sligo Rovers
(Away) 19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1 Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
