Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs GVV Unitas

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Versluis R.
14' Event
49' Event
Nartey R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with GVV Unitas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Watergraafsmeer
20%
Draws
40%
GVV Unitas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Watergraafsmeer's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what GVV Unitas have produced (1.3).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Watergraafsmeer, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 18%
GVV Unitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer GVV Unitas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs GVV Unitas
2:3
Feb 5, 2023 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs GVV Unitas
2:1
Sep 11, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Watergraafsmeer
5:2
Apr 10, 2022 Derde Divisie
GVV Unitas vs Watergraafsmeer
0:0
Oct 31, 2021 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs GVV Unitas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

GVV Unitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Versluis R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nartey R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 31 / 100
GVV Unitas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer GVV Unitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watergraafsmeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: GVV Unitas conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Watergraafsmeer found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Watergraafsmeer remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS GVV Unitas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

GVV Unitas

(Away)
15 Jun
Rohda Raalte
4 : 0
GVV Unitas
12 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
GVV Unitas
08 Jun
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 0
GVV Unitas
05 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 2
FC 's-Gravenzande
01 Jun
GVV Unitas
2 : 1
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rohda Raalte 2
Achilles Veen 1
Watergraafsmeer 2
GVV Unitas 3
Final
Rohda Raalte 4
GVV Unitas 0