Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs HSV Hoek

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Schalkwijk S.
21' Event
Schalkwijk S.
73' Event
Richard J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with HSV Hoek advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Watergraafsmeer
30%
Draws
16%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Watergraafsmeer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • HSV Hoek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Watergraafsmeer are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • HSV Hoek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor HSV Hoek, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer HSV Hoek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2022 KNVB Beker
Watergraafsmeer vs HSV Hoek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Schalkwijk S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Delannoy G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 56 / 100
HSV Hoek 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watergraafsmeer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: HSV Hoek conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Watergraafsmeer scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Watergraafsmeer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS HSV Hoek
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

HSV Hoek

(Away)
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2
Spakenburg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
USV Hercules 5
Ter Leede 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
Watergraafsmeer 1
HSV Hoek 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Harkemase Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
HSC '21 -
TBD -
TBD -
RKAV Volendam -
Groene Ster 2
Barendrecht 0
TBD -
HV & CV Quick -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waalwijk -
Rijnvogels -
TBD -
TBD -
ACV Assen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Nijkerk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
GVV Unitas -
TBD -
TBD -
DEM -
Blauw Geel -
TBD -
TBD -
Baronie -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
OJC Rosmalen 1
Sportlust 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
VV DOVO -
TBD -
TBD -
Spakenburg -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA -
Gemert -
TBD -
TBD -
Urk -
AFC -
TBD -
Staphorst 3
TOGB 0
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisse -
TBD -
TBD -
DVS '33 Ermelo -
OFC Oostzaan -
TBD -
TBD -
RKSV UDI 19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
SteDoCo -
TBD -
TBD -
Dongen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 4
VVOG 3
TBD -
VVSB -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
FC OSS '20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior 31 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
1/64-finals
Excelsior Maassluis 1
USV Hercules 2
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
IJsselmeervogels 0
HSV Hoek 1
TBD -
Heerenveen -
SVV Scheveningen 1
Harkemase Boys 2
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
HSC '21 2
RKAV Volendam 3
Groene Ster 1
HV & CV Quick 3
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
De Treffers 3
VV Noordwijk 1
TBD -
Waalwijk -
Rijnvogels 1
ACV Assen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
GVVV 1
Sparta Nijkerk 0
TBD -
Den Bosch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
GVV Unitas 0
DEM 1
Blauw Geel 4
Baronie 0
Quick Boys 1
Sportlust 2
TBD -
Utrecht -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
VV DOVO 0
Spakenburg 1
TEC 1
UNA 0
Gemert 1
Urk 2
AFC 4
Staphorst 5
Katwijk -
TBD -
Lisse 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
OFC Oostzaan 6
RKSV UDI 19 2
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
SteDoCo 1
Dongen 2
TBD -
Venlo -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 3
VVSB 0
TBD -
FC Emmen -
ASWH 1
Kozakken Boys 2
TBD -
Vitesse -
FC OSS '20 1
Excelsior 31 2
TBD -
Den Haag -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
1/32-finals
USV Hercules 0
NAC Breda 1
Eindhoven FC 1
Willem II 0
HSV Hoek 2
Heerenveen 4
Harkemase Boys 1
FC Volendam 5
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Hardenberg 0
Zwolle 1
Almere City 2
TOP Oss 0
Nijmegen 3
Sittard 2
RKAV Volendam 2
HV & CV Quick 4
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
De Graafschap 3
De Treffers 2
Waalwijk 0
Rijnvogels 0
Cambuur 3
Twente -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC 0
Telstar 1
GVVV 1
Den Bosch 3
TBD -
Ajax -
Excelsior 5
Maastricht 1
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
DEM 1
Blauw Geel 4
Sportlust 0
Utrecht 3
Dordrecht 0
Groningen 3
Spakenburg 2
TEC 1
Urk 2
Staphorst 0
Katwijk 2
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
OFC Oostzaan 1
Sparta Rotterdam 3
TBD -
PSV -
Dongen 1
Venlo 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
FC Emmen 2
Kozakken Boys 3
Vitesse 2
Excelsior 31 2
Den Haag 3
Roda 2
Heracles 3
G.A. Eagles 3
Helmond Sport 1
1/16-finals
NAC Breda 2
Eindhoven FC 1
Heerenveen 2
FC Volendam 0
Feyenoord 3
Zwolle 1
Almere City 0
Nijmegen 4
HV & CV Quick 1
De Graafschap 4
De Treffers 1
Cambuur 0
Twente 3
Telstar 1
Den Bosch 0
Ajax 2
Excelsior 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Blauw Geel 1
Utrecht 3
Groningen 2
Spakenburg 3
Urk 0
Katwijk 3
Sparta Rotterdam 1
PSV 2
Venlo 2
FC Emmen 3
Kozakken Boys 1
Den Haag 3
Heracles 0
G.A. Eagles 1
1/8-finals
NAC Breda 1
Heerenveen 2
Feyenoord 5
Nijmegen 4
De Graafschap 3
De Treffers 0
Twente 0
Ajax 1
AZ Alkmaar 1
Utrecht 2
Spakenburg 2
Katwijk 1
PSV 3
FC Emmen 1
Den Haag 1
G.A. Eagles 0
Quarter-finals
Heerenveen 0
Feyenoord 1
De Graafschap 0
Ajax 3
Utrecht 1
Spakenburg 4
PSV 3
Den Haag 1
Semi-finals
Feyenoord 1
Ajax 2
Spakenburg 1
PSV 2
Final
Ajax 1
PSV 2