Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs NEO

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NEO in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Watergraafsmeer
15%
Draws
63%
NEO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NEO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Watergraafsmeer have won more games recently than NEO.
  • Win probability leans NEO's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Watergraafsmeer have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NEO, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%
NEO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer NEO
Matches Played 28 4
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 17 1
Goals Scored 1.29 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs NEO
2:3
May 27, 2026 Derde Divisie
NEO vs Watergraafsmeer
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 26 / 100
NEO 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer NEO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Watergraafsmeer found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

NEO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 4 matches.

Recent resilience: Watergraafsmeer stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS NEO
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
04 Jun
Excelsior 31
1 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
Page 1 of 6

NEO

(Away)
07 Jun
TEC
3 : 0
NEO
03 Jun
NEO
1 : 0
TEC
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HVV Hollandia 5
Huizen 3
HBC 4
Flevo Boys 2
Heino 0
TEC 2
NEO 6
Watergraafsmeer 2
HV & CV Quick 4
EVV 5
FC 's-Gravenzande 2
SteDoCo 4
Valkenswaard 5
VV Heerjansdam 8
Dongen 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
Final
HVV Hollandia 3
HBC 0
TEC 3
NEO 1
EVV 2
SteDoCo 1
VV Heerjansdam 2
Dongen 3