Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watergraafsmeer vs Staphorst

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
79' Event
Hooikammer J.
90' Event
Brakke M.

AI Match Summary

Staphorst in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Watergraafsmeer
30%
Draws
39%
Staphorst
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Staphorst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Staphorst have won more games recently than Watergraafsmeer.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Staphorst arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Staphorst, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 16%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watergraafsmeer Staphorst
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Watergraafsmeer
2:4
May 29, 2024 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs Staphorst
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watergraafsmeer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Staphorst Compare

Top Goalscorer Hooikammer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brakke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watergraafsmeer 36 / 100
Staphorst 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watergraafsmeer Staphorst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Staphorst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staphorst has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Watergraafsmeer scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Watergraafsmeer stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watergraafsmeer VS Staphorst
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Watergraafsmeer

(Home)
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
04 Jun
Excelsior 31
1 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
Page 1 of 6

Staphorst

(Away)
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HBC 3
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Watergraafsmeer 5
Staphorst 4
Rohda Raalte 4
VV Hoogeveen 3
AZSV 1
Huizen 2
Smitshoek 3
AWC 1
Westlandia 0
Achilles Veen 5
Dongen 2
GVV Unitas 3
RKSV Halsteren 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
Final
HBC 4
Watergraafsmeer 1
Rohda Raalte 0
Huizen 1
Smitshoek 2
Achilles Veen 0
GVV Unitas 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3