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Waterhouse vs Cavalier

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gallimore J.
51' Event
Murray C.
83' Event
Murray C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Waterhouse in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Waterhouse
20%
Draws
38%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Cavalier average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Waterhouse's 1.75.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Cavalier
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:2
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallimore J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 51 / 100
Cavalier 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Waterhouse remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cavalier conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Cavalier
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
28 Apr
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

Cavalier

(Away)
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)