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Waterhouse vs Cavalier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gallimore J.
51' Event
Murray C.
83' Event
Murray C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Waterhouse in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Waterhouse
20%
Draws
33%
Cavalier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterhouse have won more games recently than Cavalier.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%
Cavalier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Cavalier
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:2
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Cavalier
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 Premier League
Cavalier vs Waterhouse
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Cavalier Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallimore J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 95 / 100
Cavalier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Cavalier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Waterhouse remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cavalier conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Cavalier
2.29 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
08 Oct
Portmore
1 : 1
Waterhouse
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
Page 1 of 6

Cavalier

(Away)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)