Sport Picks

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Waterhouse vs FC Dunbeholden

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Barrow N.
27' Event
Davis M.
54' Event
Thomas D.

AI Match Summary

Waterhouse in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Waterhouse
15%
Draws
0%
FC Dunbeholden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Waterhouse have won more games recently than FC Dunbeholden.
  • Waterhouse are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs FC Dunbeholden
4:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Waterhouse
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs FC Dunbeholden
0:0
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs FC Dunbeholden
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
FC Dunbeholden vs Waterhouse
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrow N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 85 / 100
FC Dunbeholden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse FC Dunbeholden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Dunbeholden's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Dunbeholden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS FC Dunbeholden
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
Page 1 of 6

FC Dunbeholden

(Away)
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
13 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
1 : 2
Cavalier
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 5
Mount Pleasant
26 Apr
Treasure Beach
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)