Sport Picks

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Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bryan K.
64' Event
Harris J.
90' Event
Javane B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Waterhouse and Treasure Beach finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treasure Beach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Waterhouse
20%
Draws
33%
Treasure Beach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Waterhouse come out ahead of Treasure Beach on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 20%
Treasure Beach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Treasure Beach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Waterhouse
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Premier League
Treasure Beach vs Waterhouse
2:4
Dec 19, 2023 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Treasure Beach
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Javane B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Treasure Beach Compare

Top Goalscorer Bryan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harris J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 85 / 100
Treasure Beach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Treasure Beach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterhouse found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Treasure Beach has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Waterhouse stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Treasure Beach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
Page 1 of 6

Treasure Beach

(Away)
20 Sept
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Tivoli
14 Sept
Molynes United
3 : 2
Treasure Beach
06 May
Treasure Beach
0 : 2
Molynes United
03 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Treasure Beach
30 Apr
Treasure Beach
4 : 2
Tivoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)