Sport Picks
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
New Zealand
National League Women 2023 
Match Events
32'
32'
Furukawa N.
45'
45'
Furukawa N.
61'
61'
Ward K.
AI Match Summary
Waterside Karori W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterside Karori W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington Phoenix 2 W at 1.5 per game, Waterside Karori W at 1.
- Model gives Wellington Phoenix 2 W a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Waterside Karori W | Wellington Phoenix 2 W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Waterside Karori W
4:0
Jul 5, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1:4
Oct 4, 2024 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Waterside Karori W
0:5
Jul 6, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2:3
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Waterside Karori W Compare
Top Goalscorer Furukawa N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ward K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Eglinton A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Waterside Karori W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Waterside Karori W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 22 recent games.
Wellington Phoenix 2 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Waterside Karori W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Waterside Karori W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Waterside Karori W
(Home) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1 Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0 Waterside Karori W
16 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 1 West Coast Rangers W
Page 1 of 5
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
16 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 1 West Coast Rangers W
02 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 2 Canterbury United W
19 Oct
Waterside Karori W
3 : 0 Central Football W
28 Sept
Waterside Karori W
1 : 1 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Away) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
10 Oct
Canterbury United W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
28 Sept
Southern United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Southern United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Wellington United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 9 | Central Football W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 4 |
| 10 | Ellerslie W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:23 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)