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Watford U18 vs Arsenal U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2022/2023
Watford U18 Logo

Watford U18

2 - 4
FT
Arsenal U18 Logo

Arsenal U18

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Adu Poku M.
13' Event
Adeyemo E.
56' Event
Cozier-Duberry A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Arsenal U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Watford U18
15%
Draws
42%
Arsenal U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Watford U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Watford U18 come out ahead of Arsenal U18 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Watford U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Watford U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford U18 Arsenal U18
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2023 FA Youth Cup
Watford U18 vs Arsenal U18
2:4
Mar 31, 2012 Premier League U18
Watford U18 vs Arsenal U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watford U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adu Poku M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adeyemo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Arsenal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamara O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosiak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford U18 36 / 100
Arsenal U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford U18 Arsenal U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U18 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Watford U18 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Watford U18 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal U18
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford U18

(Home)
08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3
Charlton U18
10 Apr
Watford U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
25 Feb
Watford U18
2 : 1
Southampton U18
13 Feb
Watford U18
4 : 2
Tottenham U18
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5
Arsenal U18
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1
Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3
Ipswich U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Watford U18 3
Everton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 0
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Manchester City U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Fleetwood Town U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Leeds U18 3
Ipswich U18 2
Nottingham U18 1
Port Vale U18 0
Liverpool U18 1
Stoke City U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Burnley U18 0
West Ham U18 1
Luton U18 3
QPR U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Preston U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Southampton U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Fulham U18 2
1/8-finals
Watford U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Manchester City U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Leeds U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
Liverpool U18 0
Stoke City U18 1
West Ham U18 4
Luton U18 2
Preston U18 3
Southampton U18 3
Fulham U18 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Manchester City U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
West Ham U18 4
Preston U18 1
Southampton U18 3
Semi-finals
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
West Ham U18 6
Southampton U18 1
Final
Arsenal U18 1
West Ham U18 5