Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Watford U18 vs Charlton U18

England England

FA Youth Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Smith Daley K.
70' Event
McMillan E.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Richman R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Watford U18
15%
Draws
34%
Charlton U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Watford U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlton U18 lately — more wins on the board than Watford U18.
  • Watford U18 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Charlton U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlton U18, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Watford U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Charlton U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford U18 Charlton U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 FA Youth Cup
Watford U18 vs Charlton U18
1:3
Sep 3, 2011 Premier League U18
Watford U18 vs Charlton U18
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watford U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith Daley K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Charlton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Richman R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Washington-Amoah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford U18 39 / 100
Charlton U18 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford U18 Charlton U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Watford U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Watford U18 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Charlton U18 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Watford U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watford U18 VS Charlton U18
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford U18

(Home)
08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3
Charlton U18
10 Apr
Watford U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
25 Feb
Watford U18
2 : 1
Southampton U18
13 Feb
Watford U18
4 : 2
Tottenham U18
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Charlton U18

(Away)
20 Feb
Burnley U18
2 : 0
Charlton U18
08 Jan
Watford U18
1 : 3
Charlton U18
23 Jan
Bristol City U18
1 : 0
Charlton U18
01 Aug
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Charlton U18
09 Feb
Charlton U18
0 : 2
Brighton U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Reading U18 2
Chelsea U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Arsenal U18 2
Everton U18 3
West Ham U18 2
Bromley U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Leeds U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Coventry U18 1
Blackburn U18 8
Norwich U18 1
Burnley U18 5
Watford U18 1
Charlton U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 2
Colchester U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Derby U18 1
Sunderland U18 4
West Brom U18 3
QPR U18 0
Brighton U18 2
Fleetwood Town U18 2
Aston Villa U18 3
Southend U18 1
Wrexham U18 3
Bolton U18 1
Stevenage U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
Everton U18 4
Ipswich U18 2
Swansea U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 2
Charlton U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 1
Manchester United U18 4
Sunderland U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Aston Villa U18 1
Wrexham U18 0
Stevenage U18 1
Crystal Palace U18 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 3
Everton U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Burnley U18 1
Manchester United U18 3
Sunderland U18 2
Aston Villa U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Blackburn U18 1
Manchester United U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Manchester United U18 1