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Watford vs Fiorentina

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Piccoli R.
46'
Sub
Doumbia M. In: Kjerrumgaard L.
Out: Doumbia M.
46'
Sub
Traore O. H. In: Petris J.
Out: Traore O. H.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Watford
15%
Draws
59%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fiorentina lately — more wins on the board than Watford.
  • Win probability leans Watford's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Watford Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford Fiorentina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Watford vs Fiorentina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Watford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Piccoli R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford 36 / 100
Fiorentina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Watford scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Fiorentina let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Watford stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watford VS Fiorentina
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford

(Home)
18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0
Watford
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2
Stoke City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1
Preston
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0
Watford
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
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Fiorentina

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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