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Watford W vs Leeds W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-6, with Leeds W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Watford W
20%
Draws
65%
Leeds W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leeds W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Watford W come out ahead of Leeds W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Watford W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Watford W Clean Sheet 18%
Leeds W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Watford W Leeds W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2013 Women’s FA Cup
Watford W vs Leeds W
0:2
Feb 19, 2012 Women’s FA Cup
Watford W vs Leeds W
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Watford W 36 / 100
Leeds W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Watford W Leeds W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leeds W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watford W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Leeds W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Watford W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Watford W VS Leeds W
4.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Watford W

(Home)
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Watford W
20 Sept
Watford W
1 : 5
Bristol City W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 6

Leeds W

(Away)
14 Dec
Leeds W
0 : 3
West Brom W
23 Nov
Huddersfield W
1 : 3
Leeds W
26 Oct
Leeds W
5 : 1
St Helens W
26 Nov
AFC Darwen W
2 : 1
Leeds W
12 Nov
West Didsbury & Chorlton W
2 : 6
Leeds W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Keynsham Town W 5
Sheffield Wed W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Sunderland W 7
Bristol City W -
TBD -
Coventry United W 1
Leeds W 2
Charlton W 2
Derby W 0
Preston W 0
Blackburn W 2
London Bees W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 0
TBD -
Doncaster W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Brighton W 3
Larkhall W 0
Notts County W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Enfield Town W 0
Manchester City W 2
TBD -
Everton W -
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 3
Liverpool W 0
Keynsham Town W 1
Sunderland W 5
Bristol City W 3
Leeds W 0
Charlton W 1
Blackburn W 5
London Bees W 1
Doncaster W 2
Chelsea W 3
Brighton W 0
Notts County W 0
Arsenal W 1
Manchester City W 1
Everton W 5
Quarter-finals
Birmingham W 4
Sunderland W 0
Bristol City W 3
Blackburn W 0
Doncaster W 0
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 2
Everton W 1
Semi-finals
Birmingham W 4
Bristol City W 1
Chelsea W 2
Arsenal W 0
Final
Birmingham W 3
Chelsea W 2