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Wda Swiecie vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wda Swiecie play Cartusia Kartuzy in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wda Swiecie averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2 conceded. Cartusia Kartuzy averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Wda Swiecie won 0, Cartusia Kartuzy won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Wda Swiecie and 1.75 for Cartusia Kartuzy. This points to a Wda Swiecie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Wda Swiecie
26%
Draws
29%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Wda Swiecie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Wda Swiecie picked up more points recently compared to Cartusia Kartuzy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 12%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Wda Swiecie
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Cartusia Kartuzy
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Wda Swiecie
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruczkowski R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soboczynski P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 43 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Cartusia Kartuzy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wda Swiecie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wda Swiecie attacking → ← attacking Cartusia Kartuzy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Wda Swiecie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 30
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415