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Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Retlewski D.
(Penalty)
84' Event
De Souza K.
85' Event
Kaptur H.

AI Match Summary

Wda Swiecie in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wda Swiecie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wda Swiecie
20%
Draws
29%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wda Swiecie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wda Swiecie lately — more wins on the board than Lipno Steszew.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wda Swiecie here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 18%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Lipno Steszew
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Wda Swiecie
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer De Souza K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaptur H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 31 / 100
Lipno Steszew 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wda Swiecie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Wda Swiecie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wda Swiecie VS Lipno Steszew
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wda Swiecie

(Home)
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)