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Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Wda Swiecie averaging 1.2 xG at home and Nielba Wagrowiec producing 0.9 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Our model gives the edge to Wda Swiecie with a 56% win probability.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Wda Swiecie
15%
Draws
29%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wda Swiecie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Wda Swiecie picked up more points recently compared to Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 24%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

27.07.24 Club Friendly
Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec
2:1
21.05.16 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Nielba Wagrowiec
3:1
31.10.15 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Wda Swiecie
1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Wda Swiecie

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Nielba Wagrowiec

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
8 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
6 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.76

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.68

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Nielba Wagrowiec • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Wda Swiecie • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Nielba Wagrowiec • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Wda Swiecie • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 55 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wda Swiecie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Wda Swiecie & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Wda Swiecie will likely press early to force mistakes.

Wda Swiecie 59%
Nielba Wagrowiec 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Nielba Wagrowiec should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Wda Swiecie 54%
Nielba Wagrowiec 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Wda Swiecie 51%
Nielba Wagrowiec 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Wda Swiecie to push more players wide.

Wda Swiecie 56%
Nielba Wagrowiec 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Wda Swiecie 51%
Nielba Wagrowiec 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Wda Swiecie 62%
Nielba Wagrowiec 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wda Swiecie attacking → ← attacking Nielba Wagrowiec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie have scored in 95% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Nielba Wagrowiec concede most goals (41%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 19 shots per game, well above the league median.

Wda Swiecie are unbeaten in 7 straight matches when scoring first.

Nielba Wagrowiec have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Wda Swiecie wants a European spot, while Nielba Wagrowiec is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 32
1.23 Goals expected (xG) 0.94
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2