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Wda Swiecie vs Tluchowo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kalitta M.
32' Event
Quaium M.
66' Event
Jarzebski E.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Wda Swiecie and Tluchowo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tluchowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Wda Swiecie
15%
Draws
48%
Tluchowo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tluchowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tluchowo haven't matched Wda Swiecie's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Wda Swiecie have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Tluchowo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Tluchowo
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Wda Swiecie
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Wda Swiecie vs Tluchowo
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalitta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Quaium M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarzebski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 30 / 100
Tluchowo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Tluchowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tluchowo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Wda Swiecie stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wda Swiecie VS Tluchowo
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wda Swiecie

(Home)
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

Tluchowo

(Away)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)