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Stadium Background

Wealdstone vs Nottingham U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Grosvenor Vale, London
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Whitehall A.
27'
Sub
Cook J. In: Mussa O.
Out: Cook J.
46'
Sub
Olomola O. In: Day M.
Out: Olomola O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Wealdstone
15%
Draws
54%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nottingham U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wealdstone Nottingham U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 National League Cup
Wealdstone vs Nottingham U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wealdstone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillah L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wealdstone 28 / 100
Nottingham U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wealdstone Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wealdstone found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Wealdstone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wealdstone VS Nottingham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
18 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3
Wolves U21
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3
Harrogate
08 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Wealdstone
01 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Wealdstone
28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
18 Aug
Gateshead
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)