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Weiche Flensburg 08 II vs Nordmark Satrup - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lass B.
71' Event
Neicu D.
71' Event
Lass B.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2023/2024 game between Weiche Flensburg 08 II and Nordmark Satrup finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
30%
Draws
47%
Nordmark Satrup
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nordmark Satrup come out ahead of Weiche Flensburg 08 II on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Weiche Flensburg 08 II Clean Sheet 17%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiche Flensburg 08 II Nordmark Satrup
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Weiche Flensburg 08 II
4:1
Oct 28, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Weiche Flensburg 08 II vs Nordmark Satrup
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weiche Flensburg 08 II Compare

Top Goalscorer Neicu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenzen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Nordmark Satrup Compare

Top Goalscorer Lass B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiche Flensburg 08 II 31 / 100
Nordmark Satrup 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiche Flensburg 08 II Nordmark Satrup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordmark Satrup's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Weiche Flensburg 08 II's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nordmark Satrup's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nordmark Satrup
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiche Flensburg 08 II

(Home)
18 May
TSB Flensburg
1 : 0
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
11 May
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
1 : 1
Lubeck II
04 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 1
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
27 Apr
Nordmark Satrup
4 : 1
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
20 Apr
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
2 : 4
Eckernforder SV
Page 1 of 6

Nordmark Satrup

(Away)
03 Oct
Nordmark Satrup
0 : 1
Rotenhof
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0
Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1
Kaltenkirchener
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Todesfelde 30 24 3 3 99:24 75
2 Eichede 30 21 7 2 74:23 67
3 PSV Neumunster 30 19 5 6 84:50 62
4 TSB Flensburg 30 15 8 7 64:39 53
5 Heider SV 30 14 7 9 68:51 49
6 Eckernforder SV 30 15 3 12 59:52 48
7 Preussen Reinfeld 30 14 5 11 58:49 47
8 Nordmark Satrup 30 11 4 15 55:65 37
9 VfR Neumunster 30 10 6 14 46:52 36
10 Oldenburger SV 30 8 9 13 57:73 33
11 Lubeck II 30 8 8 14 56:67 32
12 Dornbreite Lubeck 30 9 5 16 33:62 32
13 Hohenwestedt 30 8 7 15 36:71 31
14 Inter Turkspor Kiel 30 8 5 17 60:83 29
15 Bordesholm 30 6 3 21 38:91 21
16 Weiche Flensburg 08 II 30 3 9 18 39:74 17
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)