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Weiden vs Aschaffenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Bayern Nord matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Weiden
30%
Draws
39%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Weiden lately — more wins on the board than Aschaffenburg.
  • Win probability leans Weiden's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiden Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Aschaffenburg
1:1
Mar 17, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Weiden
3:0
Aug 18, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Aschaffenburg
2:2
Apr 29, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Aschaffenburg
0:0
Oct 1, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Weiden
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 40 / 100
Aschaffenburg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiden Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Weiden scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Aschaffenburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Weiden stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Weiden VS Aschaffenburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiden

(Home)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
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Aschaffenburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)