Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 game between Weiden and Erlenbach finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weiden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weiden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Erlenbach haven't matched Weiden's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Weiden taking it.
- Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Weiden Clean Sheet 20%
Erlenbach Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weiden | Erlenbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 2.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Erlenbach
4:1
Sep 23, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Weiden
2:1
Mar 4, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs Weiden
0:2
Aug 6, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Erlenbach
1:4
May 7, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Erlenbach
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weiden 85 / 100
Erlenbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weiden Erlenbach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Weiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erlenbach has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Erlenbach lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Weiden scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Weiden VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Weiden
(Home) 12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3 Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2 Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0 Grossbardorf
22 Aug
Bayern Hof
1 : 3 Weiden
18 Aug
Weiden
2 : 7 TSV Kornburg
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04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2 Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0 Grossbardorf
18 Aug
Weiden
2 : 7 TSV Kornburg
07 Aug
Weiden
1 : 2 DJK Ammerthal
24 Jul
Weiden
0 : 1 Cham
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Erlenbach
(Away) 18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0 Erlenbach
12 May
Erlenbach
2 : 5 Bayern Hof
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1 Erlenbach
28 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 5 Gebenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3 Erlenbach
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18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0 Erlenbach
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1 Erlenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3 Erlenbach
21 Apr
Weiden
4 : 1 Erlenbach
14 Apr
Amberg
1 : 4 Erlenbach
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aschaffenburg | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 91:29 | 82 |
| 2 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 71:33 | 70 |
| 3 | Wurzburger FV | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 71:36 | 67 |
| 4 | Eltersdorf | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 65:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Gebenbach | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 76:51 | 64 |
| 6 | Jahn Forchheim | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 78:67 | 54 |
| 7 | Ansbach | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 74:61 | 53 |
| 8 | Grossbardorf | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:47 | 51 |
| 9 | Erlangen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:75 | 44 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 61:59 | 43 |
| 11 | Wurzburger Kickers II | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47:49 | 42 |
| 12 | DJK Ammerthal | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 65:67 | 41 |
| 13 | DJK Don Bosco Bamberg | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 44:50 | 40 |
| 14 | Weiden | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:77 | 40 |
| 15 | 1. FC Sand | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39:57 | 30 |
| 16 | 1. FC Schweinfurt II | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 33:54 | 30 |
| 17 | Erlenbach | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 43:94 | 23 |
| 18 | Amberg | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 37:100 | 15 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)
