Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

Ingolstadt II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Weiden play Ingolstadt II in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Weiden averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Ingolstadt II averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Weiden won 2, Ingolstadt II won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 8, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Weiden and 1.19 for Ingolstadt II. This points to a Ingolstadt II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Weiden

17%

Draws

43%

Ingolstadt II

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Weiden picked up more points recently compared to Ingolstadt II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Weiden Clean Sheet 20%

Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Weiden	Ingolstadt II
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	16
Draws	10	5
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.67	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Jul 19, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs Weiden

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Nov 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Jul 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs Weiden

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 11, 2009 Oberliga Bayern

Ingolstadt II vs Weiden

Possession: 55% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 40 / 100

Ingolstadt II 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Weiden Ingolstadt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ingolstadt II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Weiden attacking → ← attacking Ingolstadt II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weiden scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Weiden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ingolstadt II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 53

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20