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Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welayta Dicha host Fasil Kenema in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Welayta Dicha at 1 goals for, 0.66 against; Fasil Kenema at 0.69 for, 0.86 against. Past meetings favor Welayta Dicha slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.75) point toward Welayta Dicha. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Welayta Dicha
20%
Draws
42%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fasil Kenema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Welayta Dicha's 1 goals per match outpaces what Fasil Kenema have produced (0.69).
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 20%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welayta Dicha Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Kenema
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
1:1
Jun 4, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
0:3
Nov 26, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Kenema
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welayta Dicha 31 / 100
Fasil Kenema 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welayta Dicha Fasil Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welayta Dicha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Welayta Dicha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Welayta Dicha found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Fasil Kenema let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Welayta Dicha VS Fasil Kenema
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Welayta Dicha

(Home)
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
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Fasil Kenema

(Away)
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0
Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1
Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ethio Electric S.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Adama City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Welwalo Adigrat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Halaba Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)