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Welling vs Billericay

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ruff C.
47' Event
Ufuah J.
70' Event
Smith S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Welling and Billericay finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Welling
15%
Draws
39%
Billericay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Billericay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Welling are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%
Billericay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welling Billericay
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Billericay
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Billericay vs Welling
6:1
Mar 5, 2022 National League South
Billericay vs Welling
2:2
Oct 30, 2021 National League South
Welling vs Billericay
1:0
Apr 13, 2021 National League South
Billericay vs Welling
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Ufuah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Billericay Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruff C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonne M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welling 38 / 100
Billericay 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welling Billericay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Welling's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Welling stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Billericay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Welling VS Billericay
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Welling

(Home)
29 Aug
Welling
1 : 0
Ramsgate
22 Aug
Dartford
0 : 3
Welling
15 Aug
Welling
4 : 0
Stanway Rovers
11 Aug
Leatherhead
4 : 1
Welling
08 Aug
Welling
2 : 0
Whitehawk
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Billericay

(Away)
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2
Tonbridge
22 Aug
Farnham
2 : 4
Billericay
15 Aug
AFC Totton
1 : 0
Billericay
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0
Dover Ath.
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)