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Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Wakefield Park
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Kilkolly A.
90'
Supyk A.

AI Match Summary

Auckland City in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Wellington Olympic
11%
Draws
80%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland City have won more games recently than Wellington Olympic.
  • Win probability leans Auckland City's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Auckland City
Matches Played 36 40
Wins 22 26
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 OFC Champions League
Wellington Olympic vs Auckland City
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Auckland City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilkolly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 11 / 100
Auckland City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Auckland City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Auckland City has conceded goals in 65% of their last 40 outings.

Wellington Olympic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Auckland City
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237