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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
van Hattum O.
23' Event
Surman F.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Football Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wellington Phoenix 2
20%
Draws
51%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix 2 lately — more wins on the board than Canterbury.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Canterbury taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Canterbury
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
5:1
Jan 9, 2021 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Dec 14, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Canterbury
3:3
Jan 27, 2019 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer van Hattum O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Canterbury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
Canterbury 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Wellington Phoenix 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 7

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 14 8 4 2 27:13 28
2 Team Wellington 14 7 5 2 35:21 26
3 Hamilton 14 5 5 4 23:21 20
4 Eastern Suburbs 14 5 4 5 25:23 19
5 Waitakere United 14 4 6 4 28:26 18
6 Canterbury 14 5 3 6 21:24 18
7 Hawke s Bay 14 4 1 9 17:29 13
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 14 2 4 8 18:37 10
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